Talk show host admits that he, like Niners fans, didn’t believe in Alex Smith

Published: Thursday, January 19 2012, 6:43 PMNEW YORK DAILY NEWS

After nine years of yakking in the Big Apple, Brandon Tierney is off to San Francisco.

COURTESY OF SNY

After nine years of yakking in the Big Apple, Brandon Tierney took off to San Francisco, where he’s spending a lot of time talking about the 49ers and the Giants this week.

It didn’t take long for Brandon Tierney to answer the question.

What Bay Area story did he consider bigger? Andrew Luck? Mark Jackson becoming coach of the Warriors? The 49ers’ run to the NFC Championship Game? Or him becoming afternoon drive host on San Francisco’s 95.7 The Game?

“Don’t be an ass, come on,” Tierney shot back over the telephone. “I’m not saying that. Stop.”

Shocking. Tierney, never shy about extolling his own virtues, didn’t take the bait. Maybe the three-hour time difference has humbled him. Yeah, sure. We felt like one of Tierney’s callers. The Dismissive One had more substantive issues to deal with.

Like the Niners and their fans who are calling to remind him how he put them down, even as they rolled along to a 13-3 season. “I didn’t believe in the Niners, at all,” Tierney said. “I was getting pummeled out here.”

For Tierney, who teams with former Niners cornerback Eric Davis, the taste of crow ain’t half bad. He finds himself in the middle of what will be the football universe, taking calls from fans who believe the 49ers will dismantle the Giants Sunday in Candlestick.

In the fans’ minds, Tierney, raised in Brooklyn, isn’t just from the the other side of the country. He’s from another planet. And he likes the Giants Sunday, 24-17.

For the talkie, it’s all about material. Tierney had no idea the ground would become so fertile when he decided to pull up stakes with his wife Jennifer and move across the country. See, in San Francisco, a relatively tranquil place, Bennys from the Bronx and Iras from Staten Island don’t grow on trees.

When we last left Tierney it was late July. In May, after nine years yakking at the station, ESPN-1050 boss David Roberts unceremoniously dropped-kicked him out the studio door.

Tierney landed on the dock of the Bay in August and immediately proceeded to target the Oakland A’s and their fans. Another detail: 95.7 The Game is the radio home of the A’s. He referred to their stadium as “a coffin,” said the team was “atrocious,” and characterized A’s fans as “insane” for supporting a product pitched by an owner who “can’t wait” to move the team to San Jose.

It wasn’t exactly love at first bite between Tierney and the Northern California Chapter of the Valley of the Stupid. Tierney decided to champion another seemingly lost cause. Last summer, almost every caller wanted Niners brass to dump Alex Smith.

“Every ounce of emotion was anti-Alex Smith,” Tierney said. “Fans had already cut the cord. They were convinced he was beyond rehabilitation, that he was mentally weak, he couldn’t make the throws — just not the guy.”

Tierney decided to play voice of reason. He wanted to see Smith with his own eyes.

“I said it wouldn’t be fair of me to bury this guy,” Tierney said. “Just like I wouldn’t want you (listeners) burying me after one show.”

Six months later Tierney is still talking on the radio. And Smith is coming off a memorable performance against the Saints that helped propel the Niners into the championship game. Those shovels are still in the closet.

Tierney is on the air. Two days away from the title game and you don’t hear the typical New York bashing from 49ers fans. Nor are the Giants being pounded either. It all seems so civil.

“It’s more of an anti-national sentiment from these 49er fans,” Tierney said. “They think the rest of the country is lined up against them. They believe the Niners get no respect. They have a chip on their shoulders.

“That old perception of Niners fans — a little passive, the wine and cheese thing. That’s been replaced by a new generation that hasn’t won. They are grittier, more vocal.”

As far as that “vocal” thing, Tierney can’t say the same for Niners GM Trent Baalke, who has a weekly segment on his show.

“Compared to Trent, Mike Tannenbaum comes off like Chris (Mad Dog) Russo. I’m serious. Trent is a very conservative guy,” Tierney said. “We may have had a personality conflict early on, but I will never let it get in the way of telling Trent what a great job he’s done.”

Ah, that’s sweet.

Jim Harbaugh is under contract to KNBR, the radio home of the Niners, but makes a monthly appearance on Tierney’s show.

“He’s got a little (Eric) Mangini in him. Long term I’m not sure that’s a great thing. If he has his first seven-win season that act doesn’t fly as much,” Tierney said. “He’s pissed some people off, there’s no doubt. I’d be lying if I said everybody likes Jim Harbaugh, but everybody certainly respects him.”

The West Coast has not interfered with Tierney’s ability to infuriate. Nor did it damage his all-knowing attitude. Tierney says he roams the streets of San Francisco anonymously. He says it’s not like New York where he was recognized by cabbies and characters looking for his opinion.

He misses that. The ego is still there (duh).

Still, Tierney has plenty of company from the old “neighborhood.” Jackson, David Lee, Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan and even Nate Robinson are all out there.

“Hey,” he said, “all we need is Isiah (Thomas) and we’ve officially got a circus.”

Then Brandon Tierney laughed.

It was the laugh of a man comfortable in his new surroundings.

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by brandontierney on 01/20/2012  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 01/20/2012

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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 15.0

Lions-Raiders should point to plenty of points...

Week 14: 4-2 ATS

Season to date: 39-31-1

Week 15: (home team in CAPS)

New York Jets (+3) over PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Sorry Philly, but this is familiar terrain for Rex Ryan’s Jets. New York is in the midst of another late season push, something they are very comfortable doing. The running game has shown flashes in recent weeks, giving the Jets the look of a playoff-bound team. Take the points–but the Jets win this one outright.

New England Patriots @ DENVER BRONCOS, UNDER 46.5: The Patriots soft defense should enable Tim Tebow to move the sticks a bit (before the 4th quarter) and kill some clock, further frustrating the Patriots. Not sure if I have the guts to ride Denver to another win, but this game should be close, and Denver’s defense keeps this one below the number. Roll with the under.

Detroit Lions @ OAKLAND RAIDERS, OVER 47.5: Both teams are desperate, and both teams remain very, very sloppy. Expect a nice bounce back from Carson Palmer to provide some scores for the Silver and Black while Stafford does enough on his end to put the scoreboard to work early and often. Shootout.

Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) over ST. LOUIS RAMS: Cincy’s defense will stifle the pitiful Rams, and Andy Dalton keeps the surprising Bengals firmly in the AFC playoff picture with a relatively easy, double-figure win.

Carolina Panthers (+6.5) over HOUSTON TEXANS: Sometimes it’s all about the gut, and my gut tells me Carolina makes Houston sweat this one out into the final minutes, with an upset not completely off the table.

Washington Redskins @ NEW YORK GIANTS, OVER 46: Coughlin’s crew is riding high after shocking the ‘Boys on national TV Sunday Night. The good times continue, but Big Blue’s secondary allows the ‘Skins to keep things within shouting distance with a breakdown or two. Plenty of points on the way, ride it.

Holiday Cheer for everyone!

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by brandontierney on 12/16/2011  •  Permalink
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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 14.0

back on track, for the stretch run...

Week 13: 4-2 ATS

Season to date: 35-29-1

Week 14: (home team in CAPS)

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-11) over Oakland Raiders: The Packers rank 1st in scoring, while the Raider’s defense remains dangerously close to the bottom (27th) in PPG allowed. That, combined with a ridiculous amount of injuries for Hue Jackson’s team amounts to a very, very long day at Lambeau. Tough to even imagine Carson Palmer keeping Oakland within shouting distance. The march toward perfection continues–without much resistance from the Silver and Black.

NEW YORK JETS (-9) over Kansas City Chiefs: Who in their right mind willingly invests a dime in Tyler Palko? Exactly. The Jets, poised for a 3rd straight win, remain in the mix in the AFC despite an inconsistent season. Expect Gang Green to punish KC on the ground, setting up some big plays downfield for Mark Sanchez. Shonn Greene is coming off a career-best 3 TD’s in last week’s win at FedEx Field, and the porous defensive front for Todd Haley’ s team will get pushed around on the road. Lay ‘em!

brought the jersey out west...

Buffalo Bills @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS, OVER 47.5: Two teams going nowhere, but with plenty of offensive weapons on both sides to play with, expect a wide open, high-scoring game from the opening kick.

DENVER BRONCOS (-3.5) over Chicago Bears: #Tebow

San Francisco 49ers @ ARIZONA CARDINALS, OVER 40: Slowly but surely, the 49ers have opened the playbook a bit under Greg Roman,  and it’s paying dividends. They are no longer predictable, with Alex Smith developing chemistry with Michael Crabtree and gaining trust with HR hitter Kyle Williams. Red-zone efficiency will be an issue the rest of the season, but this number appears very, very attainable as the Cards contribute multiple TD’s to reach the number.

Amazing turnaround at the 'Stick...

New York Giants (+3.5) over DALLAS COWBOYS: Speaking of the Cards, Dallas is still licking their wounds after last week’s brutal OT meltdown in Arizona. Expect the unexpected in this rivalry, which is why the Giants will probably win (and certainly keep it close in Big D) with the ‘Boys returning the favor in a few weeks at Met Life Stadium. Bottom line? I trust Eli more than I trust Romo. Roll with Big Blue.

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by brandontierney on 12/08/2011  •  Permalink
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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 13.0

Wake up Santa, I have some winners for you!

Week 12: 3-3 ATS

Season to date: 31-27-1 ATS

Week 13:  (home team in CAPS)

New York Jets (-3) over WASHINGTON REDSKINS: Consecutive trips to the AFC Title game, without a single home playoff game? Yup, for whatever reason, these guys function best when things get dicey. It’s been a bumpy ride thus far, but they found their way last week, and in the process, buried the Bills. Rex Ryan’s club has always been solid on the road, and that trend continues here. Still don’t view them as a SB contender, but the late season push continues in D.C. Jets, easy.

Atlanta Falcons @ HOUSTON TEXANS, OVER 37.5: This number is simply way too low given the surplus of elite offensive weapons playing in this game, regardless of Houston’s QB situation. Free money.

Denver Broncos +1.5 over MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Funny thing about this Tebow character. He throws ducks on 7- yard curl patterns, but when someone has a step deep, suddenly his ball is tight and on point. Oh yeah, Denver’s D is legit, and minus a healthy Adrian Peterson, Christian Ponder and Co. will be hard pressed to move the chains enough to win.

I'm officially rooting for this kid...

Dallas Cowboys @ ARIZONA CARDINALS, OVER 46: It’s December, which means the time is ticking on Tony Romo. Historically, anyway. Still, the NFC East is Dallas’ to lose, and the Cards simply lack the horses to slow them down. 34-17, ‘Boys.

San Diego Chargers (-3) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS: This goes one of two ways: the Jags are either razor-sharp following the dismissal of HC Jack Del Rio, and ride that emotional wave to victory, or, they’re flat after a few lifeless practices, and the Chargers take advantage. I’ll bank on the latter happening. Take the ‘Bolts.

Green Bay Packers @ NEW YORK GIANTS, OVER 52: The Packers are really, really good while the Giants are really, really…12 weeks in, and I’m still not sure. Let’s place them somewhere between dangerous and disappointing. Should be a fun game, as the scoreboard gets a good workout from both sides. Much to Perry Fewell’s chagrin.

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by brandontierney on 12/02/2011  •  Permalink
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Get it right, Warriors.

While there’s enough legal jargon to confuse “Harry” Korn, tucked away nicely within the Summary of Principal Deal Terms,  the word “Amnesty” clearly defined on Page 8 within the final draft of the NBA/NBAPA Tentative Agreement released November 26th has received the most attention, and rightly so.

In essence, it’s a mulligan. A monster mulligan. A steroid-driven, HGH-fueled mulligan.

Imagine Jack or Tiger or Arnie shooting a 92 in the final round at the US Open or Augusta, and upon signing the scorecard, a PGA official saying, “No worries, we have time, it’s still light…tee it up again, we’ll delete that last score. This one actually counts.”

That’s what this Amnesty Provision amounts to for NBA executives.

Yes, it’s a weapon, and a potent one, if used properly. One that can alter the fate of a winning franchise with big money tied into aging, decaying players or elevate a middle-of-the-road team with roster imbalance, and anything in between.

But it must be used properly.

Locally, the opinions as to what the Warriors should do fluctuates between absurd and clueless. I haven’t heard one rational thought, because quite frankly, the one thing the Warriors should do, despite reaching the playoffs just once in the past 17 years, is absolutely  nothing.

Zippo.

Yes, you read that right. I am strongly advocating that a team with no winning track record sit tight, and in essence, do nothing.

Maybe covering the Knicks for so many lean years has prepared me to identify mistakes before they actually occur. Lord knows, I dealt with a small army of them at the Garden during the Isiah years.

Or maybe I’m simply smart enough to know, that outside of landing Dwight Howard, there’s nothing new ownership can do today, tomorrow, or even next week, to elevate the franchise to championship heights.

There is work to be done, and growing pains to follow as Mark Jackson navigates a bench for the first time.

One quick glance at the W’s roster, and it’s pretty easy to identify the Amnesty “candidates.”

1) David Lee: signed thru 2015/2016, Lee’s contract escalates considerably, which is key. He’s a solid player, a good teammate, still in his 20′s, and a piece of the rebuilding puzzle.

However, his salary jumps from $11.6 this season to $15.4 in ’15-16, which could be a major hinderance. Down the road, Lee could be a candidate, but not now. He stays.

2) Andris Biedrins: something else I’m familiar with is talented, productive centers falling off the the face of the earth. While Biedrins is in terrific shape (unlike Eddy Curry), he has turned into a mental midget.

He’s a solid rebounder and defender, and this is where you really hope Mark Jackson’s street savvy finds a way to connect with the 7-footer.  He’s locked in for the next two years at $9 million per, with a player option in ’13-’14. Any decent center will command at least that, so financially, it’s worth the gamble. He stays.

3) Monta Ellis: without question, one of the most explosive, talented players in the game, and the Warriors need to strategically use that to their advantage. Let me also get this out of the way in print: I DO NOT BELIEVE THAT A CURRY/ELLIS MARRIAGE WILL ELEVATE THIS TEAM TO CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDER.

I’m hitching my wagon to Curry, and building around him. I simply trust him more. Why “Amnesty” Ellis when he’s one of the most valuable trade chips in the NBA? You don’t. He stays, but it’s short term.

I’ve also heard whispers that the Warriors are considering using the one-time provision on back-up Charlie Bell. Charlie Bell? What? I sincerely hope this is a bad attempt at humor, because, honestly, that might be the dumbest thing I’ve heard since relocating to the Bay Area. He’s an expiring contract, which in itself is a valuable asset (especially if packaged with Ellis) and he makes a “meager” $4 million dollars.

You actually want to burn a life-line on that? Moronic.

Sit back, chill. Let Mark Jackson get a feel for the grease-board, for his new roster. Give Jerry West time to evaluate, and let the Lacob’s settle into their owner’s suit at Oracle Arena.

Sometimes, in order to climb a mountain, it’s better to do nothing at first. Plot out a course, a path. Then pounce.

It seems like the ultimate contradiction, but a moribund franchise desperate to shed its loser label, right now, the plan should be to do nothing.

Otherwise, it could be another decade of decadence.

Sit tight, Warriors.

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by brandontierney on 11/30/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 11/30/2011

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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 11.0

Does anyone have a match?

Week 10: 2-4 ATS

Season to date: 28-24-1 ATS

Week 11:

Oakland Raiders (+1) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS: The Vikes starting corners are down, which means plenty of points from the rapidly-improving right wing of Carson Palmer. The indoor track also favors Oakland’s overall team speed. Hue’s Crew rolls on the road, keeping playoff hopes firmly intact.

Philadelphia Eagles @ NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 45: Tough to predict which Eagles team shows up from here on out. Still, Big Blue scores enough to  bridge the gap and cover the number.

CHICAGO BEARS -3.5 OVER San Diego Chargers: The Bears are red-hot, and the Chargers are tissue-paper soft. Toss in constant bickering between the QB and coach, on  the road, and well, you get the point. Bears.

Dallas ( -7) over WASHINGTON REDSKINS: DeMarco Murray.

Melt already, dammit!

SAN FRANCISCO 49ers -9.5 over Arizona Cardinals: Let down game? Not with Harbaugh the Great on the sidelines. Niners bury Skelton and Co. early.

CLEVELAND BROWNS -1.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars: Someone has to win, right? Lay it on the home team in this one.

Editor’s Note: I want to hate Tim Tebow with every fiber of my being after last night’s game, but quite frankly, I am afraid to. I’m not messing with that anymore!

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by brandontierney on 11/18/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 11/18/2011

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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 10.0

Jets hitting stride, Pats reeling.

SEASON TO DATE: 26-20-1 ATS

NEW YORK JETS (-1.5) over New England Patriots: Excluding the seafood and Boston College, I hate all things Boston. Especially, the Pats. Oh yeah, good luck finding a new closer, Red Sox.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) over CINCINNATI BENGALS: Counting on Dick LeBeau to make a very good rookie QB look like a confused, harrassed rookie QB.

Houston Texans (-3) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Texans hitting stride, plus 79 in points differential–tops in AFC.

New York Giants (+3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ers: One of my best friends is making the 3,000 mile trek from NYC to the Bay Area with 10 of his fellow FDNY’ers. Do you really think they’re coming all this way…to lose?

Rivalry, renewed.

Detroit Lions/CHICAGO BEARS,  UNDER 45: Forget the high-octane NFL of 2011, this one resembles an old-school death-match, where every yard is earned. Roll with the under.

Buffalo Bills (+5.5) over DALLAS COWBOYS: Once again, something’s missing with the ‘Boys, as the Bills hang around–and possibly steal one.

Just arrived, thanks SNY...great times.

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by brandontierney on 11/11/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 11/11/2011

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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 9.0

stepping aside for the week to regroup!

Two of the past three weeks have been, shall we say, a little too pedestrian for my liking. The unpredictable nature of the NFL season has led to a bumpy ride for many. I’m jumping off the ride for a week, and focusing on the kids on Saturday, instead.

How good is the SEC? Well, if you're more of a hoops head, think Big East, vintage 80's. Enjoy the show.

If you’re really desperate, I like the Jets, Pats, Niners and Raiders, for what it’s worth.

See you bright and early for Week 10!

*Update* Raiders RB Darren McFadden officially ruled out for Sunday’s game vs. Denver. I’m also hearing rumbling’s that his status for Thursday’s Week 10 showdown with San Diego is up in the air.

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by brandontierney on 11/04/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 11/04/2011

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Turn the page…

Simply put, it's time for some new faces on the corner of 3rd and King

Did this team really win the 2010 World Series with Cody Ross, Aubrey Huff and Andres Torres playing starring roles?

The answer is yes, they did, and while the magical run of 2010 will never completely fade, the cold, hard reality of 2011 pulled the team to the bottom of the ocean like an anvil: the Giants relied too heavily on too many players who overachieved the previous October.

Last year, the emotion and sentiment provided a one year window, a year to bask in the afterglow of a title.

That year is over, has been for a while now. And before the calendar officially flips to 2012, it’s imperative management realizes just how anemic and pathetic the offense was last summer.

Here’s some numbers, in case they accidentally deleted them:

29th/30th: runs scored

29th/30th: OBP%

27th/30th: OPS

22nd/30th: HR’s

Not a single player with more than 335 AB’s batted above .250. Is that even possible?

Yes, they were dealt some bad cards, none worse than the gruesome injury suffered by Buster Posey in late May during a nasty home plate collision. While Posey’s absence pointed to a glaring lack of offense, let’s not confuse the young catcher with Albert Pujols. Still ascending as player, Posey was on pace for 15 HR’s and 80-something RBI’s. Nice numbers, but hardly enough to mask the other deficiencies.

Winning with role players playing pivotal roles is intoxicating, to the point where it alters reality. Yes, they won the World Series, but they did so because average players had career years, or more specifically, career moments. The pitching did the rest.

Brian Sabean has some tough calls to make from the GM’s chair, and they need to be aggressive plays, innovative plays.

The first call he needs to make is to Philadelphia to gauge Ruben Amaro’s interest in Aubrey Huff. With Ryan Howard down with a ruptured Achilles, Huff could serve as a perfect band-aid at first base. He’s a good clubhouse guy, and a grinder, and with an expiring contract, should be financially appealing. Still, if the Phils won’t bite on the $11 million price tag, offer to eat a few. That should seal the deal.

By shipping Huff east, you also open up first base for Brandon Belt, who at this point, quite frankly, needs to play every day. Belt is legit, and has hit at every level, as his .343 minor league average attests. It’s his time.

The next move is to focus on attainable free-agents, players looking for 3-4 years. Forget about Pujols and Fielder and Reyes, not happening. Think, the next-tier.

Letting Carlos Beltran walk should also be part of the plan. His decaying knees are a terrible fit for Triple’s Alley, and he is no longer a reliable, day-to-day thumper. Resist the temptation, and instead focus on the bigger bat across the bay: Josh Willingham.

Imagine this line-up behind Lincecum, Cain and Bumgarner:

1. Jimmy Rollins, SS (FA, 3 year + option with attainable clauses for 4th)

2.  Grady Sizemore, CF (FA, 2 years, 14.5 million)

3. Pablo Sandoval, 3B

4. Buster Posey, C

5. Josh Willigham, LF (3 years, 27.5 million)

6. Brandon Belt, 1B

7. Freddy Sanchez/Keppinger 2B

8. Nate Shierholtz, RF

This offers a nice balance of speed and power, veteran IQ and youthful exuberance, lefty and righty sticks.

Is this the perfect team? Hardly. Were the Cardinals? Rolling the dice on the injury-prone Sizemore is risky, but think about the upside. Same with Rollins. This creates a window of competitive play, with a high level of interest at the box office, which equates to consistent revenue.

More importantly, it buys time for the organization before dealing with the excruciating decision of parting ways with one of their aces.

CC Sabathia’s extension with the Yankees redefined the market for pitchers, and with Lincecum and Cain in their physical prime and their contracts expiring sooner than Giants fans want to admit, the question must be asked: is it financially plausible to pay both upwards of 20 million per season?

For me, the answer is no.

May as well win a few games now, reinvest that World Series money, get back to the playoffs in ’12 and then address that shadow slowly swallowing up the pitcher’s mound on the corner of 3rd and King.

It’s lurking. Lincecum or Cain. Tough call.

But for now, here’s the blue print, Mr. Sabean.

Plenty of arms, but a dearth of sticks...

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by brandontierney on 11/03/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 11/03/2011

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BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 8.0

Week 8

Week 1: 4-2 ATS

Week 2: 4-1-1 ATS

Week 3: 3-3 ATS

Week 4: 3-3 ATS

Week 5: 4-2 ATS

Week 6: 2-3-1 ATS

Week 7: 4-2 ATS

Season to date: 24-16-1 ATS

Week 8: (home team in CAPS)

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-12.5) over  Arizona Cardinals: Ray Lewis is angry. The Cardinals are bad. And soft. Advantage Ravens, big. I actually fear for Kevin Kolb’s safety.

Give the man some respect!

NEW YORK GIANTS (-9.5) over Miami Dolphins: Lost in the glow of the “Tim Tebow Show” last Sunday in Miami, this just in: Miami is brutal. Oh yeah, quietly, the Giants remain in the thick of things in the NFC, leading Philly and Dallas by a game for the top spot in the division. Eli Manning has been terrific, connecting for 11 TD’s against only 5 INT’s. His QB rating of 101.1 currently ranks top 5 in football. Miami is hopeless, and the Giants will step on them early and often. Destruction.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS  (-9) over Cleveland Browns: I went from not giving Jim Harbaugh’s crew enough credit early on, to perhaps giving them too much credit here. 9 points for the (at times) offensively-challenged Niners is dangerous, until you consider just how anemic the Browns have been lately. Peyton Hillis remains banged up, and the depth chart will get a test on Sunday, with injuries to WR and TE. This much I know: San Fran’s D is legit. Lay the points.

(Monday Night) San Diego Chargers @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS OVER 44: The Bolts average 24 points per game, and really, Phillip Rivers has been…bad. That’s not going to last very long, and this looks like a spot for him to bust out in a big way. Mix in Dwayne Bowe and his big play ability on the other side, and 44 points seems very, very attainable.

CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5) over Minnesota Vikings: Simply put, I don’t (yet) trust Christian Ponder away from the friendly confines of his home dome, and I trust him even less with a gimpy Adrian Peterson behind him. I do expect AP to suit up despite being limited in practice late in the week, but I don’t expect much on the stat sheet. Even in the NFL, needles only go so far. Jam with Cam!

Grab it!

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) over SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: Few people know it, and even fewer people say it, but by every viable metric, Cincy has a top 10 defense: total points allowed, points per game against, total yards allowed, etc. Mix in the fact that Seattle simply can’t score (27th ppg), and I’ll take my chances. Even in Seattle, and the 12th man elements.

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by brandontierney on 10/28/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/28/2011

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Hey Hue, slow your roll!

Jackson hit the ground running, but he's encountered a few potholes in recent weeks.

Considering where the Raiders have languished for the better part of a decade, this season has already been a success for many on the outside-looking-in.

I’m no longer on the outside-looking-in.

I’ve been to the Coliseum often since relocating to the Bay Area in late July. Initially for A’s games, and now during football season, for Raider games. I’ve rubbed elbows with the wealthy during halftime at the stadium’s West Side Club and exchanged fist pounds with the gritty and creative tenants of the Black Hole on game day.

I get it.

The city of Oakland has character and soul, but then again, so does Brooklyn, my home town. Fitting in at the Coliseum, whether it’s on the field pre-game with Ice Cube or CEO Amy Trask, who I already respect tremendously, in the parking lot with the fans, or in the press box with my peers, it’s come pretty naturally thus far.

It’s why I’m comfortable issuing a warning of sorts for Hue Jackson.

I’ve seen this script before, and it goes a little something like this: an unapologetic rookie head coach, intelligent and funny, completely at ease in front of a microphone elicits reaction from everyone, and is the life of the party.

It’s great.

When you win.

Rex Ryan is like that, and he’s been like that from Day 1. Rex has also led his team to consecutive conference title games.

Hue Jackson is a LOT like Rex Ryan, and is using the same blueprint 3000 miles away.

Jackson’s  engineered a renaissance thru the first 7 weeks of the season, restoring passion and faith in the fan base, and gaining national headlines in beating the Jets and Texans, two squads every pundit positioned as playoff teams following the condensed offseason.

Truth be told, any lingering residue from the JaMarcus Russell nightmare was snuffed out last season as the Raiders, despite failing to qualify for the playoffs, earned respect by running the table in the AFC West.

Jackson’s upbeat training camp only added to the positive vibe, and heightened the expectations for Raider Nation.

However, the NFL is about discipline and consistency, and thus far, the Raiders are neither disciplined nor consistent.

Why?

Week 1: despite winning in Denver, the Raiders committed a ghastly 15 penalties.

Week 2: after jumping out to a 21-3 halftime lead in Buffalo, the Bills promptly scored on all 5 second half possessions, saddling the Raiders with a loss, quite frankly, they should not have.

Week 5: with emotions running high following the passing of Al Davis, Oakland stumbles thru an anemic offensive stretch before rallying for an inspiring last-second win in Houston. Still, the Raiders had only 10 defenders on the field as Matt Schaub was picked off in the end zone at the gun. A win is a win, especially on the road, but how in the world is that possible? At that moment? 10 players?

Week 6: back home to honor Al Davis, the Raiders jumped out to an early lead, and were about to bury the Browns for good when Jackson eschewed a short FG on 4th and 1 from the 5. Instead, the Raiders got careless, were slammed shut on 4th down, allowed a 95 yard drive to give the Browns life, and then, after failing to recover the onsides kick, sweated out a last second win with Cleveland driving with a chance to tie. Kick the field goal, and you’re up 3 scores with 5:00 to go in the game, and at that point, it’s lights out.

Week 7: Chiefs 28, Raiders 0. (oh yeah, 14 more penalties)

Sure, Kyle Boller is a backup for a reason, but was there even a game plan? More specifically, was there a Plan B, in case Plan A failed? I’m still not sure. During the week following the acquisition of Carson Palmer from the Bengals, offensive coordinator Al Saunders told a Kansas City radio station, that “as long as he’s breathing,” Palmer should be ready to go. The following days were filled with strange sound bytes and mixed signals, confusing the media and fans, but even worse, confusing the one guy you have so much invested in.

Carson Palmer.

I asked Palmer this afternoon on my radio show, when he went to sleep Saturday night, what was his expectation for Sunday? His response is frightening:

“I was told I was not going to play…it was a complete shock when (he) told me at halftime and obviously, I wasn’t prepared or ready.”

Whoaaaaaaa!

What?

Being coy with the media for the sake of gamesmanship, that’s one thing. It’s part of the culture in the NFL. Never divulge too much about injuries and game plans. Keep it vanilla, benign. I get it.

But when an NFL player uses the word “shocked” to describe how he felt upon entering a game, that’s just mind-boggling. Especially one who was lounging on the couch last week!

I like Hue Jackson, hell, I’m even rooting for Hue Jackson. The hope in the air on game day at the Coliseum, it’s palpable, and it immediately brings me back to 1997, when Bill Parcells was repairing the wreckage left behind by Rich Kotite. Maybe it’s because I can relate. These fans aren’t hungry. They are famished.

Hey Coach, I know you want to sprint. But you might be better served working up to a nice jog.

Less chance of tripping.

Owning the press conference is one thing, but at the end of the day, this sport is all about owning Sunday afternoons.

Back to basics.

1 Comment
by brandontierney on 10/27/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/27/2011

http://brandontierney.org/2011/10/27/hey-hue-slow-your-roll/

BT’s “6 pack of picks” Version 7.0

It's that time of year...

Looking for a bounce back after my first losing week of the season, despite some good vibes early in Week 6. The Packers seemed well on their way to another 40 + point explosion, yet, after hanging 21 points on the Rams in the 2nd quarter alone, inexplicably took their foot of the gas, and came up with a donut over the final 30 minutes. Loss. Meanwhile, the Steelers had an equally confounding finish against the hapless Jags as Tomlin’s Crew scored 17 quick points in the first 18 minutes, before suddenly dozing off into a football coma the rest of the afternoon. They failed to register another point as the Jack’s fought back to make a game of it, and yup, you guessed it: loss. The cherry came in the form of the Oakland Raiders, who not only nearly flushed away all of a 24-10 lead with 5:00 remaining at home against the Browns, but Hue Jackson actually bypassed a FG late which would have stretched it to a 3 score lead and iced the investment. Nope. Stuffed on 4th down, Browns drive 80 yards, TD, recover onsides kick and somehow make a push seem like a win. Rookie mistake. Hey Hue, take the points bro. Every, single time.

Oh well. That’s why you can’t take this stuff too seriously kids. Better luck this week, here’s some winners for ya!

And for Rex and the Jets: treat this one as a playoff game, because it is. As in, if you don’t win–you ain’t going.

As for Carson Palmer, never mind the mixed signals from the Raiders: he’s starting, and he’s going to play better than most people anticipate. 270 yards and 2 TD’s. Watch.

Far from finished...

Week 1: 4-2 ATS

Week 2: 4-1-1 ATS

Week 3: 3-3 ATS

Week 4: 3-3 ATS

Week 5: 4-2 ATS

Week 6: 2-3-1 ATS

Season to date: 20-14-1 ATS

Week 7: (home team in CAPS)

Chicago Bears (-1) over TAMPA BAY BUCS

Baltimore Ravens and JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS OVER 39.5

Denver Broncos (-1) OVER MIAMI DOLPHINS

Pittsburgh Steelers (-4) over ARIZONA CARDINALS

Seattle Seahawks and CLEVELAND BROWNS OVER 41.5

San Diego Chargers and NEW YORK JETS OVER 43.5

1 Comment
by brandontierney on 10/21/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/21/2011

http://brandontierney.org/2011/10/21/bts-6-pack-of-picks-version-7-0/

BT’s “6 Pack of Picks” Version 6.0

Stop the madness!


Week 1: 4-2 ATS

Week 2: 4-1-1 ATS

Week 3: 3-3 ATS

Week 4: 3-3 ATS

Week 5: 4-2 ATS

Season to date: 18-11-1 ATS

Week 6: (home team in CAPS)

Expect a magical day at the Coliseum.

OAKLAND RAIDERS (-7) over Cleveland Browns: While the porous Raiders run defense should, in theory, prove the perfect tonic for Peyton Hillis’ early season struggles, this one’s all about Al. After an emotional last-second win last week in Houston, the Silver and Black return home for what could become, possibly, the most memorable Raiders game of all-time. Al Davis’ shadow looms that large in the Bay Area, and should fuel the home team early. If the emotions work in reverse, eventually, talent will take over, and from top to bottom, the Raiders are simply more talented. The key is to keep Josh Cribbs out of the end zone on special teams. If they do, the Raiders cruise by double figures, with McFadden making a run at two bills on the ground. Rest in peace, Al.

NEW YORK JETS (-7) over Miami Dolphins (Monday Night): The Jets have some potentially crippling deficiencies, including, for the first time during the Rex Ryan Era, a fractured locker room.

The wheels are loose, but they're not off yet.

Chemistry aside, their defense is quickly eroding and their offense has become very predictable. Still, after a three game roadie thru Oakland, Baltimore and New England, the Jets catch one of the worst teams at the perfect time. With Matt Moore subbing for the injured Chad Henne, expect Ryan to dial up blitzes and hand Mark Sanchez a short field all night. With the Bills showing no signs of slowing down, and the Pats still the Pats, the Jets are hardly a lock for the playoffs. Still, simply put, they are supposed to bludgeon Miami. And they will. Jets, BIG.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS/Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 40: The Steelers average 20.4 ppg, 23rd in football, while the Jags average an anemic 12 ppg, 31st in football. Based on the stats and the math, the play here is the under. However, the Steelers mind-boggling performance in Week 1 (35-7 loss to the Ravens) weighs down their point-per-game average significantly. Instead, they should come close to duplicating last week’s drubbing of the Titans, when they sniffed 40 points. Basically, you’re hoping for 10-13 points from the Jags, and expecting Pittsburgh to do the rest of the heavy lifting. Remember, it’s not that I love the Steelers this season. I don’t. Personally, I think they, like the Jets, are slipping from the “elite” radar. But I love them here. Make sense? Roll with over.

New Orleans Saints (-4.5) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Considering that the Saints lone loss came to the Packers, and they ARE 4-1, something still seems as if it’s missing. When you dig deeper into some of their games, they simply haven’t been overly impressive. Before pulling away from the Jags in Week 4, they were locked in a 14-10 death match in the 3 rd quarter, and followed that up with a narrow 3 point win last week versus Carolina. The Bucs, meanwhile, are still licking their wounds after being pummeled 48-3 in San Francisco last Sunday. File that in the “aberration” file. Still, this is a gut play, and my gut says the Saints are due for a double-figure win. It”s been a while. Lay the points.

St. Louis Rams @ GREEN BAY PACKERS OVER 48: Last season, one NFL team averaged 30 points per game, the Pats. So far in 2011, six teams are hanging the same amount on opponents, and no team is more prolific than the Packers. Basically, GB has turned the NFL into the SEC, averaging 35 points per game and doing so seemingly, without even breaking a sweat. Sure, the defense has a little work to do (allowed 23 points to Carolina and Denver), but with the Rams down to their FOURTH and FIFTH CB on the depth chart, this one gets ugly fast, as Aaron Rodgers threatens 500 yards in the air. Take the over.

Dallas Cowboys (+7) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: I know, I know, the Pats are simply too good, right? I’m not so sure about that. They have weaknesses, they just do a great job of masking them, and with the exception of the Bills, have yet to face a team capable of exploiting those deficiencies. Enter, Dallas. Coming off a well-timed bye, Tony Romo is expected to have his receiving corp in tact for the first time since Week 1. Mix in three new starters on the New England’s offensive line, and DeMarcus Ware and Co. should punish Brady, who was sacked a season-high 4 times last week versus the Jets. I expect Dallas to hang, and quite honestly, wouldn’t be surprised if they flat-out win. Buckle in, this is the game of the week, not Niners-Lions. ‘Boys reward your faith, and cover the number.

4-2 last week? Yup, you guessed it: pimpin' once more.


2 Comments
by brandontierney on 10/13/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/13/2011

http://brandontierney.org/2011/10/13/bts-6-pack-of-picks-version-6-0/

BT’s “6 Pack of Picks” Version 5.0

Tread lightly, it's been a crazy few weeks.

Ride the peaks aggressively, and proceed with caution during the valleys. It’s a mantra handed down for generations, from the street corners, to the bright lights of Vegas, to the pearly-white shores of the on-line world. That never changes. Don’t chase on Sunday night, and most certainly know when to walk away. Basic staples most adhere to.

Something else you should add to the list, at least for the first quarter of the NFL season: no one knows what the heck is next. Blame it on the lockout, but let’s face it, that excuse is drying up quickly. Embrace the fact that trends mean very little thus far, and expect the road to remain bumpy.

It’s going to be that type of year. Understand that going in.

If not, check into a clinic, because you clearly have issues.

Were the Bills really outscored 20-3 in the 2nd half in Cincinnati,  and despite leading 17-3 at the half, lose the Bengals? Yup. Did Shurmur really let Colt McCoy attempt 61 passes versus the Titans? Yup. Did the Niners really beat the Eagles? In Philly? Yup and yup. Were the Jets absolutely waxed on national TV by the Ravens? You bet. Are the Falcons driving people nuts in every crevice of the world? Yup. Really? You couldn’t handle a manageable number in Seattle? Nope.

Look at this way: if you’ve broken even the past two weeks, consider yourself actually ahead.

Strap in, time for another stab at greatness.

Week 1: 4-2 ATS

Week 2: 4-1-1 ATS

Week 3: 3-3 ATS

Week 4: 3-3 ATS

Season to date: 14-9-1

Week 5: (home team in CAPS)

NEW YORK GIANTS (-9.5) over Seattle Seahawks: I’ve basically compared Pete “The Cheat’s” team to an average MAC team the past few weeks, and while they’ve silenced me at home, the road in the NFL is generally pretty unforgiving. Especially when traveling nearly 3000 miles to face a better-than-expected Giants club. Big Blue rolls at home, and this time, I’m positive. I think.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-3) over Tennessee Titans: Personally, like the Jets, I believe the Steelers are among the perceived “elite” teams slowly falling back down to earth. Sure, I’ve had a so-so read on the Titans thus far, but this is a gut play here. The Steelers still have plenty of pride, and a pretty good coach. Mix in the Terrible Towels, and I love Pittsburgh here.

Philadelphia Eagles/BUFFALO BILLS OVER 49.5: You know things are whacky when A) the Bills are 3-1 and B) the temperature reaches the mid-70′s at Ralph Wilson Stadium in early October. With rain/sleet a non-factor, the track remains quick, quick enough for all of the athletes on both sides to find the end zone early–and often. Roll with the over.

SAN FRANCISCO 49′ERS (-3) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: I like the Bucs, and I love Josh Freeman, and while they can certainly match San Fran’s toughness, Jim Harbaugh has me convinced, at least for this week. A short work week and a cross-country trip factor in as well, as does last season’s 21-0 beat down Tampa laid on the Niners. Mentally, they’ll be ready. Close call, which means buying 1/2 point and keeping it inside of a FG seems like a smart play.

San Diego Chargers (-3.5) over DENVER BRONCOS: Did you see the highlights from last week’s Denver game? Chargers pull away, big.

New Orleans Saints (-6.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS: Cam Newton has revitalized Carolina, and while the Panthers have shown they can score, one of the true Jedi’s of the NFL, Drew Brees, exposes a team not-yet-ready-for-prime-time. Lay the wood, trust the Boys from the Bayou.

1 Comment
by brandontierney on 10/07/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/07/2011

http://brandontierney.org/2011/10/07/bts-week-5-6-pack-of-picks/

They suck, he doesn’t…

The "race" continues...

28) St. Louis Rams (0-4) Current QB: Sam Bradford, 23 (49.7 completion %, 70.8 QB rating) Given the overall weakness of the NFC West, it’s not too late for Spags’ crew to get healthy–provided they can get healthy. Despite the early bumps, the organization remains committed to Bradford, the overall # 1 pick last season. He’s the real deal, and everyone in the league knows it. Remember, growing pains come with rebuilding efforts, especially with QB’s. They can go 0-16, and in my opinion, still wouldn’t draft Luck, and instead, would trade down and stock the drawers with picks.

Next: BYE (outscored 113-46 thus far)

29) Denver Broncos (1-3) Kyle Orton, 28 (8 TD’s/6 INT’s, 80.8 QB rating) Kyle Orton’s a decent NFL quarterback, and if anything, skews closer to the top than the bottom. Problem is, the Tebow chants will quickly fade to shouts for Luck if the Boys in the Mile High don’t reverse things soon. Wrong team, wrong time for Orton, bottom line. Here’s one thing I know for sure: in 5 years, Orton is still employed. He may very well be holding a clipboard by then, but definitely still employed.

Next: vs. San Diego (outscored 111-81 thus far)

30) Indianapolis Colts (0-4) Curtis Painter, 28 (last game: 13-30, 281 yards, 2TD/0 INT) He already has 4 MVP awards, and watching the Colts this season only reinforces one thing: he deserves a 5th this season, even without taking a single snap. It’s been a long time since the loss of one player so adversely affected a professional team.

The end?

Heck, even the Pats won double figure games without Brady a few years ago. Here’s the real question: do the Colts have the guts to draft Luck if Peyton (and team doctors)  declares himself ready to play next season? It’s the ultimate gamble, and it’s a fascinating subplot.

Next: vs. Chiefs (outscored 108-63 thus far)

31) Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) Matt Cassel, 29 (64.9 completion %, 4 TD/5 INT, 75.2 QB rating) This thing is an absolute mess, but amazingly, there’s an NFL city that currently has it worse. If that’s possible. Embarrassing.

Next: @ Indianapolis (outscored, 126-49)

32) Miami Dolphins (0-4) Chad Henne, 26 (expected to miss the rest of the season with a seperated shoulder) Imagine getting told you’re safe thru the bye-week, and the bye-week is only a few days away. Welcome to Tony Sparano’s world. This has been ugly from the outset, and is crumbling quicker than Lebron James in the 4th quarter. Not that it really matters, but Chad Henne is lost for the season with a shoulder injury, and they still have to play Dallas, the Jets (twice), Pats, Eagles and Giants. Ding, ding, ding….we may very well have a winner.

Next: BYE (outscored 104-69)

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by brandontierney on 10/06/2011  •  Permalink
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Posted by brandontierney on 10/06/2011

http://brandontierney.org/2011/10/06/they-suck-he-doesnt/

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